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2021-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -9 (113-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 8-16 2-8 4-5 6 13 3 1 22 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 3-7 1-2 4-4 7 1 1 1 11 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 9-19 3-6 1-1 7 4 1 0 22 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 29 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 7 0 0 9 - -
Thaddeus Young * 23 4-11 0-0 3-3 9 6 0 0 11 - -
Daniel Theis 26 6-9 0-1 2-3 10 3 0 0 14 - -
Coby White 26 5-10 3-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 15 - -
Lauri Markkanen 18 8-10 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 18 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 40 5-17 2-8 1-2 4 6 3 0 13 - -
Pascal Siakam * 38 10-17 1-2 6-7 8 1 0 3 27 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 38 2-14 1-7 1-1 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher * 36 14-24 3-7 7-8 19 1 1 1 38 - -
Malachi Flynn * 35 3-11 3-7 0-0 3 8 2 0 9 - -
Aron Baynes 17 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Yuta Watanabe 16 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Stanley Johnson 15 2-5 0-0 3-4 0 1 2 1 7 - -

* = starter