Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (30.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -30 (96-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 27 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Greg Whittington | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Bazley * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon * | 32 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 29 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 27 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter