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2021-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% -
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: New York Knicks +3 (110-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. McConnell * 46 8-13 0-0 1-2 6 12 2 0 17 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 5-10 2-2 3-5 7 9 0 0 15 - -
Myles Turner * 33 5-14 1-8 0-0 4 0 1 4 11 - -
Justin Holiday * 31 3-7 2-6 5-5 3 1 0 1 13 - -
Doug McDermott * 22 6-11 2-3 6-6 5 0 0 0 20 - -
Aaron Holiday 19 2-10 1-1 2-4 3 3 1 0 7 - -
Edmond Sumner 17 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Jeremy Lamb 12 3-8 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 1 8 - -
Goga Bitadze 11 2-4 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 1 5 - -
JaKarr Sampson 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 41 12-22 2-5 2-2 10 6 4 0 28 - -
Nerlens Noel * 41 3-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 2 8 - -
Derrick Rose * 37 6-11 1-3 4-4 1 11 4 0 17 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 8-17 4-6 4-7 7 2 0 0 24 - -
Reggie Bullock * 26 4-11 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Alec Burks 21 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley 13 3-6 3-4 1-1 4 0 1 0 10 - -
Frank Ntilikina 10 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Taj Gibson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Knox II 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter