Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +3 (117-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 11-23 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 35 | 6-17 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 31 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 38 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 28 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 29 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter