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2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 ✓ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (102-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 42 11-24 5-13 8-8 3 7 0 1 35 - -
Robert Covington * 39 1-8 0-5 2-2 10 0 1 0 4 - -
Enes Kanter * 35 3-9 0-0 5-7 17 3 0 0 11 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 34 4-6 1-1 2-2 6 2 1 2 11 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 33 8-20 2-11 1-1 1 2 2 0 19 - -
Carmelo Anthony 19 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 2 4 - -
Rodney Hood 18 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Nassir Little 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Anfernee Simons 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 11-21 2-5 4-8 11 7 4 3 28 - -
Dennis Schroder * 31 6-14 1-2 9-9 3 2 1 0 22 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 24 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Markieff Morris * 22 2-8 0-4 0-1 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Marc Gasol * 17 2-7 1-5 3-4 2 2 0 1 8 - -
Alex Caruso 30 4-10 2-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 10 - -
Montrezl Harrell 29 7-12 0-0 3-4 9 2 0 1 17 - -
Kyle Kuzma 23 1-5 0-1 2-2 11 2 0 0 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 2 4 - -
Wesley Matthews 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter