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2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 ✓ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 65.0% 35.0% - ✗
Efficiency 83.2% 16.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 69.2% 30.8% - ✗

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (118-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 35 5-14 3-9 2-2 6 4 0 0 15 - -
John Collins * 31 11-19 2-6 1-2 8 0 1 0 25 - -
Trae Young * 31 7-21 3-9 0-0 6 8 0 0 17 - -
Clint Capela * 30 8-11 0-0 1-4 21 0 1 4 17 - -
Tony Snell * 28 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Danilo Gallinari 25 2-8 0-3 4-5 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 21 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 5 1 0 10 - -
Solomon Hill 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Skylar Mays 13 3-7 1-4 3-4 2 0 1 0 10 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 9-16 3-5 3-4 5 4 1 0 24 - -
Theo Maledon * 34 4-11 2-6 3-3 4 12 1 0 13 - -
Luguentz Dort * 32 6-14 4-9 3-4 3 2 1 0 19 - -
Isaiah Roby * 31 3-7 1-3 0-1 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Darius Bazley * 28 8-12 1-5 1-4 12 1 1 1 18 - -
Kenrich Williams 25 7-9 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Ty Jerome 22 4-7 1-3 0-0 5 7 2 0 9 - -
Mike Muscala 16 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 10 - -
Justin Jackson 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter