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2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - ✗
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 ✗ (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - ✓
Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -20 (99-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 34 8-13 3-5 11-11 9 7 0 1 30 - -
Paul George * 31 6-11 1-5 0-0 4 8 1 1 13 - -
Serge Ibaka * 27 6-9 0-3 0-0 4 3 1 2 12 - -
Nicolas Batum * 25 5-8 3-5 0-0 6 3 1 0 13 - -
Patrick Beverley * 21 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 3 1 2 11 - -
Lou Williams 26 6-12 2-4 3-3 2 4 1 0 17 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 23 1-6 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Ivica Zubac 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 2 3 - -
Terance Mann 17 6-8 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Reggie Jackson 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kennard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 33 7-20 2-6 4-5 4 5 2 0 20 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 9-17 0-1 4-5 11 3 1 0 22 - -
Kyle Anderson * 31 5-8 2-3 0-1 9 4 5 1 12 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 5-14 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 1 11 - -
Grayson Allen * 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
De'Anthony Melton 24 6-12 2-6 2-2 3 2 0 1 16 - -
Desmond Bane 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 16 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Xavier Tillman 15 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Tyus Jones 14 2-6 1-2 1-1 0 3 0 0 6 - -

* = starter