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2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% - ✓
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 ✓ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - ✓
Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls -9 (97-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 9-24 0-3 4-7 2 5 2 0 22 - -
Chris Paul * 34 5-11 0-4 4-4 6 15 3 0 14 - -
Deandre Ayton * 33 10-17 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 3 22 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 5-6 2-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 14 - -
Jae Crowder * 28 1-4 1-3 0-0 6 5 0 0 3 - -
Abdel Nader 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
E'Twaun Moore 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Cameron Johnson 17 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 8 - -
Frank Kaminsky 13 7-13 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 15 - -
Cameron Payne 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 9-16 4-8 2-4 1 4 0 0 24 - -
Patrick Williams * 33 2-8 0-3 0-0 7 2 0 1 4 - -
Garrett Temple * 31 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Coby White * 31 7-16 1-6 4-4 5 4 0 0 19 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 21 6-11 0-0 1-2 10 5 0 0 13 - -
Tomas Satoransky 20 5-6 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Denzel Valentine 20 2-8 0-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 4 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 11 4-5 3-4 0-0 5 0 0 3 11 - -

* = starter