🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (122-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 36 9-21 2-9 1-2 2 12 0 1 21 - -
Victor Oladipo * 36 9-21 4-10 5-5 5 4 2 0 27 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 33 3-8 3-7 2-2 6 1 1 0 11 - -
P.J. Tucker * 33 4-8 2-5 1-2 7 2 1 1 11 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 23 4-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Eric Gordon 32 5-12 3-8 4-5 2 2 0 2 17 - -
Sterling Brown 19 1-3 1-3 0-0 10 1 0 0 3 - -
David Nwaba 15 2-8 0-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Justin Patton 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 5 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 38 6-23 5-11 8-8 4 4 3 0 25 - -
Kyle Lowry * 33 6-9 4-5 4-4 11 10 1 1 20 - -
Norman Powell * 32 10-15 4-8 6-6 3 1 1 1 30 - -
OG Anunoby * 27 5-8 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 1 11 - -
Chris Boucher * 27 2-8 0-4 3-4 8 2 0 3 7 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 23 4-6 0-1 5-5 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Yuta Watanabe 17 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Terence Davis 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Aron Baynes 15 4-8 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 9 - -
Patrick McCaw 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Stanley Johnson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Matt Thomas 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter