Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +6 (118-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 33 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 33 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 22 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 17 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 4-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 33 | 10-19 | 4-10 | 8-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 30 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter