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2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Log Adjusted 50.8% 49.2% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (107-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 40 5-14 2-7 9-14 8 7 2 1 21 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 38 9-21 1-7 8-11 5 6 1 2 27 - -
Buddy Hield * 37 4-14 3-9 3-5 2 3 0 0 14 - -
Richaun Holmes * 33 6-8 0-0 7-7 17 1 0 2 19 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 27 9-13 0-1 1-2 8 1 1 0 19 - -
Cory Joseph 18 0-7 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kyle Guy 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 12 3-4 1-1 1-2 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Justin James 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 38 7-17 2-7 14-15 7 1 0 0 30 - -
Saddiq Bey * 32 6-10 5-9 0-0 6 2 1 0 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 26 2-6 0-0 2-4 9 6 0 1 6 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 26 7-13 2-5 1-2 1 6 0 1 17 - -
Wayne Ellington * 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Josh Jackson 28 6-14 1-4 1-5 5 1 3 2 14 - -
Saben Lee 21 4-9 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 1 6 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 18 1-5 1-3 3-4 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter