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2021-02-26

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% -
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Log Adjusted 31.2% 68.8% -
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +4 (129-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 37 15-26 0-2 4-5 8 6 1 1 34 - -
Brandon Ingram * 36 11-25 1-10 0-1 4 2 1 0 23 - -
Lonzo Ball * 34 7-14 6-10 0-0 1 8 1 1 20 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 34 5-13 4-10 2-2 4 5 1 0 16 - -
Steven Adams * 27 3-4 0-0 1-2 13 4 1 2 7 - -
JJ Redick 26 4-9 1-4 0-0 7 3 0 0 9 - -
Josh Hart 22 2-6 1-3 1-2 5 4 0 0 6 - -
Willy Hernangomez 20 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 10 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 38 14-24 2-4 1-1 7 6 0 0 31 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 14-27 2-5 8-10 10 4 0 1 38 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 34 9-16 4-7 2-2 7 9 2 1 24 - -
Brook Lopez * 34 5-8 1-3 1-3 5 1 0 3 12 - -
Bobby Portis * 31 5-9 2-4 0-0 8 0 0 2 12 - -
Pat Connaughton 26 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Bryn Forbes 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 - -
Sam Merrill 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter