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2021-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% -
Points Off/Def 32.2% 67.8% -

Actual: New York Knicks +19 (140-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 38 9-18 3-7 8-10 4 11 1 0 29 - -
Harrison Barnes * 35 7-12 3-6 5-7 7 5 2 0 22 - -
Buddy Hield * 30 3-9 2-7 1-1 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Richaun Holmes * 28 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 22 7-12 1-2 4-6 5 0 1 0 19 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 32 6-13 2-8 3-3 4 4 4 0 17 - -
Cory Joseph 22 3-6 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 6 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Kyle Guy 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Norvel Pelle 3 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Justin James 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 30 9-18 2-4 1-2 14 4 1 0 21 - -
Derrick Rose * 27 7-11 2-2 2-2 3 6 0 0 18 - -
RJ Barrett * 25 5-8 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Nerlens Noel * 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 8 - -
Reggie Bullock * 19 4-8 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Alec Burks 24 8-12 5-8 3-3 4 2 0 0 24 - -
Taj Gibson 23 4-5 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Frank Ntilikina 23 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 3 0 7 - -
Immanuel Quickley 20 5-10 3-6 12-12 1 3 2 0 25 - -
Obi Toppin 17 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Kevin Knox II 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Theo Pinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter