Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +3 (102-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 33 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 12-20 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 27 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge | 25 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 13-20 | 6-11 | 10-11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 30 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 29 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 17 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter