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2021-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 45.1% 54.9% +1.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Log Adjusted 31.6% 68.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +10 (128-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Plumlee * 32 9-10 0-0 3-5 9 7 0 4 21 - -
Saddiq Bey * 31 4-8 3-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 26 5-12 1-4 0-0 3 7 3 0 11 - -
Wayne Ellington * 23 3-10 1-7 0-1 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 - -
Josh Jackson 29 10-18 2-6 3-4 6 3 0 0 25 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 28 4-9 4-9 0-0 3 2 0 0 12 - -
Saben Lee 21 5-8 1-1 2-2 2 4 2 1 13 - -
Isaiah Stewart 18 5-8 0-0 1-2 10 0 2 1 11 - -
Frank Jackson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Rodney McGruder 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 36 9-18 3-6 6-7 7 8 1 0 27 - -
Lonzo Ball * 34 4-8 2-5 2-2 6 8 3 0 12 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 33 5-11 0-1 1-4 3 2 2 0 11 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 13-18 0-0 6-9 6 5 0 1 32 - -
Steven Adams * 30 7-8 0-0 0-2 15 3 1 2 14 - -
Josh Hart 29 5-10 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Willy Hernangomez 16 2-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 3 6 - -
JJ Redick 15 2-6 2-4 1-2 1 4 1 0 7 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 6 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter