🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 66.0% 34.0% -3.7 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.3% 59.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +15 (127-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 31 4-20 1-8 4-4 1 1 2 0 13 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 6-16 0-6 5-5 4 5 1 0 17 - -
Jeff Teague * 28 4-9 0-1 6-6 5 5 1 1 14 - -
Tristan Thompson * 25 5-10 0-0 3-4 13 0 1 0 13 - -
Daniel Theis * 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Grant Williams 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 1-5 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Aaron Nesmith 14 5-7 3-4 0-2 3 0 1 0 13 - -
Robert Williams III 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 6 - -
Javonte Green 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Carsen Edwards 12 5-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Tremont Waters 7 4-4 3-3 0-0 0 5 1 0 11 - -
Tacko Fall 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 2 - -
Semi Ojeleye 5 1-2 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 34 12-23 5-11 4-5 4 7 1 0 33 - -
Tony Snell * 28 4-8 4-6 0-0 4 4 0 1 12 - -
Kevin Huerter * 27 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 5 - -
John Collins * 25 6-11 2-5 0-0 11 1 0 1 14 - -
Clint Capela * 21 3-6 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 3 9 - -
Danilo Gallinari 33 13-16 10-12 2-2 6 2 2 0 38 - -
Solomon Hill 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Skylar Mays 16 0-2 0-1 4-4 2 5 0 0 4 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Rajon Rondo 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Brandon Goodwin 3 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Nathan Knight 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter