Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 7-21 | 1-11 | 9-10 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 18 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 8-12 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 34 | 10-20 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter