Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (111-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enes Kanter * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 34 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 34 | 9-21 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 29 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 32 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 39 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 17-32 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 23 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter