Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (110-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 12-20 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 10-23 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 33 | 8-19 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tacko Fall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 38 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 11-23 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 29 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| James Johnson * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 30 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 6-17 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter