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2021-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% -
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% -
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (102-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 35 8-12 3-4 4-5 7 5 1 2 23 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 3-13 1-1 11-12 12 2 1 1 18 - -
Ben Simmons * 35 5-11 0-0 5-6 9 7 0 1 15 - -
Danny Green * 31 3-9 3-9 2-3 5 2 3 0 11 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 28 5-11 5-11 4-4 7 2 0 0 19 - -
Shake Milton 29 4-10 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 11 - -
Matisse Thybulle 15 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 3 7 - -
Dwight Howard 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Mike Scott 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Joe 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 42 9-18 1-6 3-3 6 7 3 1 22 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 4-14 2-5 2-3 8 8 2 4 12 - -
Norman Powell * 35 9-19 2-9 4-4 4 6 3 0 24 - -
OG Anunoby * 29 4-13 2-7 0-0 4 1 1 2 10 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 24 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 4 2 1 4 - -
Aron Baynes 29 5-10 1-3 0-1 4 2 0 1 11 - -
Chris Boucher 22 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 1 10 - -
Terence Davis 15 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 9 - -
Matt Thomas 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter