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2021-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% - ✗
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 ✗ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✗
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - ✗

Actual: New York Knicks -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 37 6-13 1-6 3-5 5 1 0 1 16 - -
Draymond Green * 36 3-9 1-4 0-0 9 12 3 2 7 - -
Stephen Curry * 36 9-22 7-14 12-12 6 6 2 0 37 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 36 8-18 1-5 2-2 8 2 0 3 19 - -
Kevon Looney * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 1 2 - -
Kent Bazemore 21 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 1 3 0 9 - -
James Wiseman 15 6-9 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 14 - -
Eric Paschall 14 3-6 0-1 2-3 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Brad Wanamaker 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 - -
Damion Lee 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 34 8-21 3-6 6-6 10 7 0 0 25 - -
Elfrid Payton * 33 8-19 0-2 4-5 3 4 0 0 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 27 1-9 1-3 1-2 10 1 0 0 4 - -
Nerlens Noel * 23 4-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 3 8 - -
Reggie Bullock * 18 2-6 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Derrick Rose 27 6-15 2-4 2-2 4 8 1 1 16 - -
Alec Burks 24 3-10 2-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Taj Gibson 24 2-3 0-0 4-4 11 0 1 0 8 - -
Obi Toppin 13 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 7 - -
Immanuel Quickley 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter