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2021-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Orlando Magic Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% - ✗
Margin 50.0% 50.0% +0.0 ✗ (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - ✓
Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -12 (93-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 33 6-15 1-5 4-4 7 6 1 0 17 - -
Saddiq Bey * 32 4-10 2-7 0-0 8 3 3 0 10 - -
Mason Plumlee * 29 2-3 0-1 3-3 12 4 0 3 7 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 21 4-10 1-5 0-0 3 3 1 1 9 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 18 6-9 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 2 14 - -
Josh Jackson 29 7-17 0-4 4-4 7 0 0 2 18 - -
Saben Lee 28 8-11 3-3 2-5 3 4 2 0 21 - -
Isaiah Stewart 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 15 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Frank Jackson 12 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 32 9-22 2-8 0-0 9 4 0 2 20 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 4-14 3-8 3-6 3 3 1 0 14 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 30 4-9 1-2 2-2 6 5 0 1 11 - -
James Ennis III * 23 1-4 0-2 2-4 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 21 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 - -
Terrence Ross 27 4-12 3-9 2-2 8 4 4 1 13 - -
Chuma Okeke 20 2-4 2-3 0-2 4 3 3 0 6 - -
Dwayne Bacon 18 4-12 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Chasson Randle 17 3-4 2-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Khem Birch 15 1-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 5 - -

* = starter