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2021-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (23.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% -
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +32 (132-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 4-18 3-12 0-0 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Damian Lillard * 28 9-17 1-7 5-6 0 7 0 0 24 - -
Enes Kanter * 27 3-7 0-0 0-0 15 0 1 1 6 - -
Robert Covington * 23 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 2 1 2 6 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 22 4-4 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 2 8 - -
Anfernee Simons 26 2-8 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Carmelo Anthony 21 4-9 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Rodney Hood 19 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Nassir Little 16 4-7 3-6 7-8 5 0 1 1 18 - -
CJ Elleby 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Keljin Blevins 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 29 12-17 2-2 8-8 4 4 0 0 34 - -
Chris Paul * 25 1-9 0-1 0-0 3 9 1 0 2 - -
Deandre Ayton * 25 8-11 0-0 3-3 5 2 1 2 19 - -
Mikal Bridges * 24 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 5 0 2 10 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 - -
Jae Crowder 21 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Dario Saric 21 5-12 2-4 2-2 9 1 0 0 14 - -
E'Twaun Moore 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Cameron Payne 17 2-8 1-5 2-2 3 0 0 1 7 - -
Cameron Johnson 16 5-7 3-3 0-1 3 0 1 0 13 - -
Abdel Nader 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Langston Galloway 7 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 7 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Damian Jones 5 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 0 5 - -

* = starter