Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (102-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 10-21 | 0-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 25 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 16 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 15 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 9-14 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 27 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter