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2021-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (20.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% -
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% -
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -20 (100-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Williams * 34 6-8 2-4 0-0 7 1 1 1 14 - -
Zach LaVine * 31 7-14 4-6 3-3 5 6 0 0 21 - -
Coby White * 30 10-16 4-7 0-0 10 2 0 1 24 - -
Garrett Temple * 28 3-7 2-4 1-2 4 4 0 0 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 28 8-14 0-0 2-2 13 1 2 3 18 - -
Tomas Satoransky 29 4-9 2-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 10 - -
Thaddeus Young 20 8-9 0-0 1-3 8 5 0 0 17 - -
Denzel Valentine 18 2-9 1-7 0-0 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 15 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Daniel Gafford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae'Sean Tate * 31 5-11 2-4 0-0 8 2 3 0 12 - -
Eric Gordon * 27 5-18 1-10 2-3 3 4 0 0 13 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 26 5-9 4-5 1-2 6 2 1 0 15 - -
John Wall * 26 4-14 1-3 6-7 3 7 0 0 15 - -
P.J. Tucker * 22 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Sterling Brown 27 6-9 4-4 0-1 4 2 0 0 16 - -
David Nwaba 26 9-16 1-3 3-5 9 2 2 0 22 - -
Justin Patton 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 3 4 - -
Ben McLemore 11 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Rodions Kurucs 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Mason Jones 8 1-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter