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2021-04-20

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.6 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.1% 54.9% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -15 (94-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 33 8-17 6-11 3-4 3 4 1 0 25 - -
Dejounte Murray * 32 4-10 1-2 2-4 7 7 0 0 11 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 31 5-13 0-2 8-9 8 6 0 1 18 - -
Keldon Johnson * 27 6-10 1-4 1-2 6 2 0 0 14 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 7-10 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 1 16 - -
Rudy Gay 21 3-7 0-3 2-2 7 2 0 1 8 - -
Patty Mills 21 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 15 0-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 15 2-6 0-0 5-6 13 1 0 0 9 - -
Devin Vassell 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Tre Jones 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Gorgui Dieng 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Luka Samanic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 31 5-20 1-7 7-8 6 5 1 2 18 - -
Caris LeVert * 29 8-19 1-5 1-2 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Oshae Brissett * 24 5-8 3-5 0-1 6 0 1 0 13 - -
Edmond Sumner * 23 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 6 2 0 7 - -
Goga Bitadze * 22 1-7 0-2 5-6 9 0 0 5 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 24 4-11 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 8 - -
Justin Holiday 24 1-9 1-7 1-2 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Doug McDermott 17 2-7 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
JaKarr Sampson 15 1-6 0-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Cassius Stanley 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Brian Bowen II 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kelan Martin 3 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter