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2021-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% - ✓
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 ✓ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% - ✓
Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.3% 78.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (128-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DaQuan Jeffries * 39 5-13 2-5 6-7 6 2 1 1 18 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 5-17 2-5 1-2 1 10 2 0 13 - -
Buddy Hield * 30 3-13 2-10 5-6 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 28 5-12 1-3 1-1 6 2 0 1 12 - -
Richaun Holmes * 21 5-7 0-0 1-2 11 2 0 0 11 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 34 10-16 3-6 0-0 5 8 2 1 23 - -
Jabari Parker 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Cory Joseph 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 - -
Hassan Whiteside 8 3-9 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Kyle Guy 8 4-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Justin James 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 9-19 1-2 19-24 18 4 1 0 38 - -
Khris Middleton * 32 13-22 3-5 3-3 8 6 4 2 32 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 30 7-12 1-4 1-2 2 3 0 1 16 - -
D.J. Augustin * 27 2-10 0-5 0-0 1 5 2 0 4 - -
Brook Lopez * 23 2-4 1-3 1-2 8 0 0 1 6 - -
Pat Connaughton 28 3-4 1-2 5-5 6 2 1 0 12 - -
Bryn Forbes 25 4-10 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 10 - -
Bobby Portis 23 3-7 2-2 0-0 8 0 0 0 8 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Sam Merrill 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter