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2021-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (123-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 36 5-15 2-5 3-4 10 6 3 0 15 - -
Jamal Murray * 34 11-20 3-8 5-6 4 4 2 0 30 - -
Zeke Nnaji * 29 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Will Barton * 26 6-11 3-5 0-1 3 3 0 1 15 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 19 4-7 1-3 1-1 3 0 0 2 10 - -
Monte Morris 32 7-13 1-4 0-0 7 6 0 0 15 - -
Facundo Campazzo 26 4-7 4-7 4-4 1 2 0 0 16 - -
Bol Bol 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 - -
R.J. Hampton 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Markus Howard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vlatko Cancar 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 10-19 4-7 11-13 6 15 1 0 35 - -
Clint Capela * 31 8-9 0-0 6-8 10 1 0 1 22 - -
Kevin Huerter * 30 5-8 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 11 - -
John Collins * 29 5-13 0-5 2-4 11 3 0 2 12 - -
Cam Reddish * 27 2-8 2-5 2-2 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Tony Snell 22 4-5 4-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Danilo Gallinari 20 3-6 1-3 5-5 5 3 2 0 12 - -
Solomon Hill 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 13 4-7 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Skylar Mays 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 - -

* = starter