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2021-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 60.3% 39.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% -
Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Log Adjusted 25.5% 74.5% -
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% -

Actual: New York Knicks +4 (103-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 37 2-6 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 6 - -
Anthony Edwards * 31 3-11 3-6 3-4 3 4 0 0 12 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 31 9-18 3-7 6-6 15 4 1 3 27 - -
Ricky Rubio * 27 7-12 3-5 1-3 0 6 1 0 18 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Jaden McDaniels 21 2-7 1-3 1-1 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 20 3-9 2-3 0-0 4 6 0 0 8 - -
Naz Reid 16 3-4 0-1 5-6 8 0 0 0 11 - -
Jaylen Nowell 11 0-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 10 2-3 2-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Josh Okogie 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Jake Layman 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 39 8-16 2-4 7-8 14 4 0 0 25 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 10-20 1-1 0-1 4 1 1 1 21 - -
Elfrid Payton * 31 3-6 0-0 5-6 1 7 0 0 11 - -
Reggie Bullock * 30 3-8 1-6 3-3 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Nerlens Noel * 28 2-4 0-0 6-6 9 0 0 2 10 - -
Alec Burks 19 3-7 1-3 6-6 6 0 0 0 13 - -
Taj Gibson 19 1-1 0-0 0-2 7 1 2 1 2 - -
Derrick Rose 18 1-8 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Immanuel Quickley 9 1-5 1-2 2-4 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter