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2021-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% -
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% -
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +7 (110-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 38 9-11 0-0 10-14 9 5 1 0 28 - -
Tobias Harris * 37 6-17 1-9 0-0 4 7 1 1 13 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 6-20 1-3 12-14 17 2 0 2 25 - -
Seth Curry * 35 4-12 2-7 2-4 3 6 1 1 12 - -
Danny Green * 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 5 2 9 - -
Shake Milton 28 3-11 3-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Dwight Howard 10 1-3 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 8-18 1-3 6-6 7 8 1 0 23 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 7-15 5-10 4-5 5 9 1 1 23 - -
OG Anunoby * 30 4-6 0-1 2-3 6 1 0 1 10 - -
Norman Powell * 26 3-11 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 11 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 19 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Aron Baynes 29 4-9 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Terence Davis 25 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 25 6-8 5-6 0-0 5 1 0 3 17 - -
Matt Thomas 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Stanley Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter