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2021-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 77.8% 22.2% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 77.4% 22.6% -6.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (120-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 10-24 3-7 9-13 9 2 2 0 32 - -
Jaylen Brown * 40 7-23 3-10 8-9 6 9 0 0 25 - -
Daniel Theis * 38 2-7 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 3 5 - -
Kemba Walker * 35 5-21 1-12 3-3 1 4 1 2 14 - -
Tristan Thompson * 29 5-8 0-0 4-6 9 0 1 2 14 - -
Aaron Nesmith 26 3-4 1-2 3-3 4 0 2 0 10 - -
Robert Williams III 21 4-6 0-0 0-0 13 3 0 4 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 4 - -
Semi Ojeleye 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 42 11-22 5-12 6-6 6 3 0 0 33 - -
Zion Williamson * 39 11-21 0-1 6-10 10 4 0 1 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 38 5-11 3-6 3-4 6 4 2 0 16 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 24 3-6 0-1 2-3 1 3 0 1 8 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 22 3-10 0-0 0-3 13 2 0 1 6 - -
Josh Hart 36 5-10 2-5 5-7 10 0 1 3 17 - -
JJ Redick 17 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 - -
Nicolo Melli 16 1-7 1-7 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter