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2021-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 76.6% 23.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +1.0 (32.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -
Points Off/Def 54.1% 45.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -31 (97-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 27 6-7 4-5 3-3 6 1 1 1 19 - -
Devin Booker * 26 7-13 5-7 4-4 5 5 0 0 23 - -
Deandre Ayton * 22 3-7 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 7 - -
Chris Paul * 22 6-9 4-5 0-0 2 6 0 0 16 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 19 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Cameron Payne 25 7-10 5-7 0-0 2 7 1 0 19 - -
Jae Crowder 20 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 5 - -
Dario Saric 19 7-9 3-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 19 - -
E'Twaun Moore 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 7 2 0 1 4 - -
Cameron Johnson 12 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 - -
Jevon Carter 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 - -
Abdel Nader 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 4 - -
Damian Jones 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Langston Galloway 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Anthony Melton * 26 5-12 1-6 0-0 6 4 0 0 11 - -
Ja Morant * 26 5-12 0-2 2-2 5 5 1 0 12 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 5-9 0-1 0-0 12 1 0 0 10 - -
Xavier Tillman * 24 3-9 0-5 3-3 4 0 0 1 9 - -
Desmond Bane * 23 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
John Konchar 28 3-6 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 22 3-7 1-3 8-8 4 2 1 1 15 - -
Sean McDermott 21 3-5 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Justise Winslow 21 3-14 1-4 2-4 7 0 1 0 9 - -
Tyus Jones 19 4-11 1-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 11 - -

* = starter