Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (124-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday * | 37 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 33 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 29 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner * | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 30 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 21 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 40 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 38 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 36 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| John Wall * | 35 | 12-28 | 0-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter