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2021-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - ✓
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (122-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 39 7-17 1-4 5-9 3 9 2 0 20 - -
Cory Joseph * 36 0-2 0-1 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 35 10-19 1-2 5-5 11 2 2 0 26 - -
Buddy Hield * 35 10-21 3-11 0-0 4 3 1 0 23 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 16 5-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 12 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 32 6-16 2-5 2-2 1 5 2 1 16 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 17 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 11 3-7 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Jabari Parker 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Justin James 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 35 6-14 5-8 2-2 3 2 1 1 19 - -
Patrick Williams * 35 5-10 1-3 0-0 11 3 0 0 11 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 15-20 3-6 5-5 4 3 3 0 38 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 5 0 2 7 - -
Garrett Temple * 29 6-9 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 2 14 - -
Thaddeus Young 21 8-12 0-0 2-3 3 4 0 2 18 - -
Tomas Satoransky 18 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 4 0 1 10 - -
Denzel Valentine 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter