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2021-05-13

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs New York Knicks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% -
Log Adjusted 36.9% 63.1% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks +4 (102-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 10-18 0-0 7-9 8 4 1 0 27 22 -
Jakob Poeltl * 34 4-7 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 3 8 16 -
Dejounte Murray * 34 7-18 0-1 0-1 9 7 1 1 14 14 -
Keldon Johnson * 30 5-11 2-4 1-1 2 2 1 0 13 7 -
Lonnie Walker IV * 29 5-13 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 12 5 -
Patty Mills 27 1-5 1-4 3-3 0 3 0 0 6 4 -
Rudy Gay 19 2-10 1-5 3-3 3 1 0 0 8 2 -
Drew Eubanks 13 3-7 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 2 8 13 -
Devin Vassell 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 44 7-21 1-5 10-10 9 9 1 0 25 23 -
RJ Barrett * 40 8-19 5-9 3-3 9 5 1 0 24 20 -
Reggie Bullock * 38 3-9 2-8 0-0 4 3 3 0 8 9 -
Nerlens Noel * 26 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 2 6 11 -
Elfrid Payton * 12 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 -1 -
Alec Burks 34 11-20 5-10 3-3 10 2 0 1 30 23 -
Taj Gibson 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 4 6 16 -
Immanuel Quickley 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Frank Ntilikina 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
Obi Toppin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter