Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +9 (102-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 9-26 | 1-9 | 4-5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 36 | 10-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 29 | 0-9 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 30 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 30 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 36 | 8-17 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Wall * | 34 | 12-23 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 20 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 18 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter