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2021-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 78.6% 21.4% -
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% -
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% -
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% -
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -18 (114-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 35 7-12 0-0 2-3 16 2 0 1 16 - -
Devin Booker * 30 9-18 2-5 3-3 4 2 1 0 23 - -
Chris Paul * 30 6-11 3-5 0-0 4 19 2 1 15 - -
Mikal Bridges * 25 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 6 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 15 6-8 5-6 0-2 2 1 0 0 17 - -
Jae Crowder 28 7-9 6-8 0-0 3 3 2 0 20 - -
Cameron Johnson 21 4-10 3-8 2-2 3 1 0 1 13 - -
Cameron Payne 17 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 4 0 0 6 - -
E'Twaun Moore 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 7 - -
Dario Saric 10 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Abdel Nader 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Langston Galloway 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 36 6-13 6-12 3-4 1 12 3 2 21 - -
Brandon Ingram * 33 10-20 1-6 4-4 2 3 2 0 25 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 8-11 0-0 7-10 5 4 0 0 23 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 25 5-9 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 1 12 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 23 4-8 0-0 1-1 13 1 1 0 9 - -
Josh Hart 28 2-3 2-3 2-2 9 3 1 0 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 18 0-8 0-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 - -
JJ Redick 12 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 2 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Nicolo Melli 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter