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2021-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% -
Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% -
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 37 10-19 6-10 5-5 6 2 2 0 31 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 4-20 2-9 2-2 7 3 3 2 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 4-10 0-2 2-3 9 6 1 3 10 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 25 3-9 0-3 1-2 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Chris Boucher * 21 3-9 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 9 - -
Aron Baynes 19 0-3 0-2 2-4 9 0 0 0 2 - -
Malachi Flynn 14 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 11 3-5 3-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Stanley Johnson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Matt Thomas 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Patrick McCaw 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 34 3-14 0-7 1-2 3 4 2 1 7 - -
Malik Beasley * 33 5-16 3-9 0-0 5 1 0 1 13 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 8-13 1-3 2-2 13 4 0 2 19 - -
Ricky Rubio * 26 2-6 1-4 2-3 3 4 1 0 7 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Jaden McDaniels 30 2-5 2-5 2-3 6 1 0 2 8 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 22 5-8 0-2 1-1 2 7 1 0 11 - -
Naz Reid 17 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 - -
Jake Layman 13 3-4 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 8 - -
Jaylen Nowell 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Okogie 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter