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2021-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% - ✓
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 ✓ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 25.9% 74.1% - ✓
Efficiency 5.6% 94.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 8.5% 91.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 16.0% 84.0% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (98-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 36 3-12 2-5 6-9 4 5 1 0 14 - -
Luguentz Dort * 32 6-16 3-7 2-3 2 1 0 0 17 - -
Theo Maledon * 30 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 1 5 - -
Al Horford * 29 4-14 2-9 0-0 5 4 0 1 10 - -
Darius Bazley * 20 2-7 2-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Hamidou Diallo 31 4-10 0-1 2-8 6 3 0 1 10 - -
Isaiah Roby 20 4-5 2-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 10 - -
Kenrich Williams 18 2-4 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 1 4 - -
Mike Muscala 14 3-9 0-6 1-1 7 1 0 1 7 - -
Justin Jackson 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 35 7-18 1-5 5-7 8 4 1 0 20 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 10-20 1-5 8-10 19 8 1 3 29 - -
D.J. Augustin * 32 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 5 1 0 11 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 30 2-8 1-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Brook Lopez * 28 3-8 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 2 7 - -
Pat Connaughton 27 2-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 6 - -
Bryn Forbes 18 3-8 2-5 2-3 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Bobby Portis 16 3-8 1-2 0-1 8 1 0 0 7 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter