Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +14 (109-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 39 | 5-20 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 32 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 24 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 23 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 23 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Clarke * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 10-23 | 0-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 25 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sean McDermott | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter