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2021-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% -
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 10-16 3-7 8-9 4 11 3 0 31 33 -
Clint Capela * 31 11-14 0-0 2-2 15 1 2 4 24 32 -
Cam Reddish * 30 3-13 0-4 3-3 5 0 5 1 9 7 -
John Collins * 30 3-13 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 8 -1 -
Kevin Huerter * 30 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 1 5 4 -
Danilo Gallinari 24 2-14 2-7 3-4 3 3 1 0 9 2 -
Solomon Hill 18 3-4 1-1 5-5 4 1 1 0 12 14 -
Tony Snell 17 2-6 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 3 -
Bruno Fernando 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 -
Skylar Mays 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Brandon Goodwin 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 10-21 3-8 2-2 8 6 1 3 25 22 -
Jaylen Brown * 34 6-12 4-7 1-3 4 6 1 0 17 16 -
Kemba Walker * 33 10-16 5-8 3-3 5 6 3 1 28 27 -
Daniel Theis * 32 7-9 0-1 0-0 8 4 1 3 14 21 -
Tristan Thompson * 27 8-9 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 1 17 17 -
Aaron Nesmith 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 3 -
Semi Ojeleye 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
Payton Pritchard 17 0-7 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -6 -
Robert Williams III 16 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 4 12 17 -
Javonte Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter