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2021-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% -
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +7 (112-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 9-28 2-10 10-10 5 5 2 1 30 - -
Garrett Temple * 33 4-8 1-3 1-1 5 2 1 2 10 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Coby White * 26 4-11 1-5 0-0 6 5 0 0 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 24 7-13 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 15 - -
Tomas Satoransky 21 3-4 1-2 3-3 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Thaddeus Young 20 6-9 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 12 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 17 4-10 0-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 10 - -
Denzel Valentine 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Daniel Gafford 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 38 2-11 1-5 4-4 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Danny Green * 37 4-10 4-8 1-3 2 5 0 0 13 - -
Tobias Harris * 36 9-16 1-2 3-4 12 7 0 0 22 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 36 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 3 2 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 17-26 1-2 15-17 17 5 2 4 50 - -
Tyrese Maxey 17 3-11 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Howard 12 4-5 0-0 0-1 10 1 0 0 8 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Mike Scott 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter