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2021-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% -
Margin 73.5% 26.5% -5.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.2% 37.8% -
Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.3% 23.7% -
Log Adjusted 76.4% 23.6% -
Points Off/Def 65.0% 35.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (124-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 11-29 6-16 1-1 7 11 0 0 29 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 36 10-18 3-6 3-7 7 1 4 0 26 - -
Draymond Green * 33 2-5 2-2 0-0 6 9 1 0 6 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 7-15 1-4 1-1 4 2 2 0 16 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 7 - -
Damion Lee 20 4-5 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 10 - -
Eric Paschall 14 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 4 0 0 5 - -
Mychal Mulder 14 3-6 3-6 1-2 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Kent Bazemore 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 12 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 8 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 38 13-23 2-8 2-2 16 10 1 1 30 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 32 2-13 2-6 2-2 4 5 1 2 8 - -
Evan Fournier * 31 11-18 5-9 1-2 4 6 2 0 28 - -
James Ennis III * 15 2-5 2-3 1-2 8 2 0 0 7 - -
Khem Birch * 12 0-0 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Terrence Ross 32 9-17 4-9 2-2 4 1 3 0 24 - -
Chuma Okeke 22 4-8 3-4 0-0 5 2 0 3 11 - -
Dwayne Bacon 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chasson Randle 15 1-4 0-2 1-1 2 2 0 1 3 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 12 3-4 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Mo Bamba 9 1-2 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 1 3 - -

* = starter