Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | -5.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -5 (112-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Campazzo * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 12-18 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 16-17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 40 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 40 | 4-16 | 0-9 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 24 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 33 | 10-19 | 7-14 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter