🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - ✗
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 ✗ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✗
Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.4% 46.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.7% 52.3% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -11 (98-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 37 7-15 3-7 6-7 5 11 2 1 23 - -
Jeff Green * 33 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 5 - -
Kyrie Irving * 33 7-17 0-5 2-4 7 5 1 0 16 - -
Joe Harris * 30 7-10 6-7 1-2 5 1 1 0 21 - -
Bruce Brown * 19 3-7 0-1 3-5 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 26 5-9 5-8 0-0 2 3 2 0 15 - -
DeAndre Jordan 23 3-3 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 1 7 - -
Landry Shamet 18 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Tyler Johnson 8 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Andre Roberson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 34 7-13 2-5 0-0 10 0 1 1 16 - -
LeBron James * 32 14-23 1-6 3-6 8 7 0 0 32 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 3-8 1-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews * 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Marc Gasol * 19 2-5 2-4 2-3 3 3 2 1 8 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 27 3-9 0-3 3-3 2 5 0 1 9 - -
Alex Caruso 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 3 0 2 - -
Montrezl Harrell 15 5-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Quinn Cook 11 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 7 - -
Markieff Morris 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Jared Dudley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Devontae Cacok 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter