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2021-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% -
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -14 (96-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 40 5-15 3-8 4-4 5 8 1 1 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 37 9-18 2-4 7-7 6 5 1 2 27 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 36 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 5 - -
Norman Powell * 30 9-12 4-7 7-8 4 3 2 0 29 - -
OG Anunoby * 26 4-12 0-6 2-2 7 1 0 1 10 - -
Chris Boucher 22 4-7 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 8 - -
Matt Thomas 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Aron Baynes 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 1 6 - -
Yuta Watanabe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Stanley Johnson 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Paul Watson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 37 5-13 0-3 3-3 8 5 1 0 13 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 8-20 0-4 7-13 12 8 2 0 23 - -
Bryn Forbes * 28 4-8 3-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 26 6-15 2-6 0-0 7 4 0 0 14 - -
Brook Lopez * 20 4-7 1-3 3-3 4 0 1 2 12 - -
Pat Connaughton 29 2-4 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 7 - -
D.J. Augustin 24 3-9 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Bobby Portis 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 - -
Torrey Craig 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 7 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Jaylen Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter