Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +8 (120-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 40 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 40 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 39 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 39 | 3-15 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 43 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 42 | 8-25 | 5-20 | 4-4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 38 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mychal Mulder * | 13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 37 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 31 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter