Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (127-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Joseph * | 36 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 32 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 26 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington | 18 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 17 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 10-22 | 4-11 | 6-10 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 28 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter