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2021-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.7% 27.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 40.5% 59.5% +2.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -2 (124-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 38 5-6 2-3 0-0 8 1 2 4 12 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 14-28 7-16 8-8 4 16 1 1 43 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 33 7-14 5-10 4-4 2 1 1 0 23 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 31 6-8 1-2 0-0 7 3 2 2 13 - -
Enes Kanter * 30 5-10 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Anfernee Simons 24 2-5 1-4 2-3 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Carmelo Anthony 19 5-12 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Rodney Hood 18 2-6 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Nassir Little 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 35 7-14 5-10 2-2 2 5 1 0 21 - -
Zion Williamson * 33 12-18 1-2 11-15 6 4 2 0 36 - -
Brandon Ingram * 32 4-12 0-2 6-6 5 6 0 0 14 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 23 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Steven Adams * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Josh Hart 30 2-9 0-4 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Willy Hernangomez 29 5-13 1-1 0-0 17 0 0 0 11 - -
JJ Redick 19 5-7 4-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 16 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 17 2-6 2-4 0-2 2 4 0 0 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 4 - -

* = starter