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2021-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.0% 87.0% -
Points Off/Def 20.0% 80.0% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMarcus Cousins * 36 6-12 4-9 3-3 8 4 2 2 19 - -
John Wall * 35 11-24 2-8 4-5 3 7 2 1 28 - -
Eric Gordon * 33 6-14 3-9 2-2 0 6 0 0 17 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 32 7-11 1-3 4-6 6 4 3 0 19 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Sterling Brown 26 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 - -
David Nwaba 24 3-7 1-2 0-0 10 1 1 2 7 - -
Ben McLemore 20 5-12 1-7 0-0 5 0 3 0 11 - -
Mason Jones 9 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danny Green * 36 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 0 0 2 12 - -
Tobias Harris * 36 8-17 1-2 7-8 15 5 1 2 24 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 10-21 1-3 10-12 11 9 2 1 31 - -
Seth Curry * 36 8-13 3-5 6-6 2 5 2 0 25 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 31 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 4 1 5 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 15 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Isaiah Joe 12 1-6 1-5 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 - -
Dwight Howard 11 0-2 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 3 - -
Tyrese Maxey 11 4-7 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Mike Scott 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter